18 June 2007

ACTUALS: Fantastic Four Surfs to the Top

Proving the superhero genre is still alive and well, The Fantastic Four sequel rose to the occasion capturing the weekend crown. Its $57 million take is slightly larger than the original's opening weekend total of $56 million. While the film will probably settle for around $150 million or so, the reasonable budget of $125 millionish will allow this film to turn a profit while at the box office. With toy sales and DVDs Marvel and Fox should be eager to get the ball rolling on the Silver Surfer solo film and also on a Fantastic Four - 3: Rise of H.E.R.B.I.E.

Shrek is closing in on the $300 million mega mark and should get there by next week. I am also ready to officially state that Pirates 3 has been a disappointment. It may not even get to $300 million (which was its purported budget) so even with its huge earnings its gonna have to wait for DVD release to get into the black. So far I am pretty happy with my predictions (aside from my $100 million overestimate of Pirates), we will see if this upcoming week's Evan Almighty does well enough to make the summer's top 9.

Current Rankings:

#9 Georgia Rule - $18,778,570 (-.-%)*
#8 28 Weeks Later - $28,031,155 (-.-%)*
#7 Surf's Up - $34,625,490 (-.-%)*
#6 Fantastic Four: Rise of the Silver Surfer - $58,051,684 (33.1%)*
#5 Ocean's 13 - $70,429,741 (-.-%)*
#4 Knocked Up - $90,016,695 (-.-%)*
#3 Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End - $274,145,510 (69.1%)*
#2 Shrek the Third - $297,245,100 (91.4%)*
#1 Spider-Man 3 - $330,021,137 (86.8%)*

*Percentages earned relative to my predictions

My Predictions:

#9 Evan Almighty - $170,000,000
#8 Fantastic Four: Rise of the Silver Surfer - $175,000,000
#7 The Bourne Ultimatum - $185,000,000
#6 Transformers - $205,000,000
#5 Ratatouille - $260,000,000
#4 Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix - $275,000,000
#3 Shrek the Third - $325,000,000
#2 Spider-Man 3 - $380,000,000
#1 Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End - $395,000,000


RayChase said...

Yeah Pirates isn't ruling the summer like everyone thought. However when you consider worlwide BO, it will turn some profit before hitting the DVD shelves this fall.

Chip Chief said...

I guess you're right about that. Pirates is up to 820 mil worldwide, pretty impressive. It will probably end up #1 or 2 overseas depending on how well Potter does.

Dragulf said...

*cough* TRANSFORMERS!!! *cough*

Chip Chief said...

Maybe... as much as I am anticipating Transformers, I don't expect it to make $900 million worldwide. But I suppose it could.

finky the kid said...

In your dreams, dragulf. :)

It'll have a good opening weekend, but domestic take will top out at $225MM.